Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Some Updated Approval Numbers

  • Here are some members of the 50-and-under club:

    Pat Roberts (R-KS): 50-36

    Gordon Smith (R-OR): 50-40

    Mitch McConnell (R-KY): 49-43

    John Cornyn (R-TX): 47-39

    Norm Coleman (R-MN): 47-43

    and honorable mention: John Warner (R-VA): 51-37

    When an institution like John Warner barely squeaks above 50%, one can be reasonably sure that we are amid a fairly solid blue trend.


    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Net positives:

    Roberts: 14%
    Smith: 10%
    McConnell: 6%
    Cornyn: 8%
    Coleman: 4%
    Warner: 14%

    Pretty solid numbers. Not Susan Collins-esque, but pretty solid nonetheless.

    3:45 PM, March 28, 2007  
    Blogger Senate2008Guru said...

    You're absolutely right - Norm Coleman should be thrilled with those numbers.

    va blogger, if you think 47-43 is "pretty solid," you have zero credibility or objectivity. Zero.

    3:48 PM, March 28, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    I'll grant you that Coleman's numbers are low, but a 47-43 is a lot better than a net negative.

    The others aren't even worth reporting.

    4:22 PM, March 28, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    BTW, other '08ers that you neglected:

    Tom Harkin: 52%
    John Kerry: 47%

    John Kerry is also the only Senator up for re-election featured in these polls with a net negative rating.

    I realize that John Kerry is from MA and won't recieve a strong challenge, but neither will Roberts and McConnell.

    4:26 PM, March 28, 2007  
    Blogger Johnny C said...

    VA -- you are flat out wrong if you think a 50% approve in a purple state like OR is not worth reporting. Anything at or under fifty is worth reporting and while OR is not RI look at where Chaffey's numbers were at. To only be a +10 without a challenger yet is not a strong position especially in a purple state like OR.

    5:26 PM, March 28, 2007  
    Blogger Blue South said...

    Anything below 2-1 approval is considered danger zone.

    If you have below a 10% positive almost 2 years before an election, and before anyone starts running negative ads you are going to have serious problems.

    when you are ready to talk actual facts, va blogger, we can have a conversation.

    5:48 PM, March 28, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    "Actual facts" like anything below a 66% approval rating is "dangerous"? Get real.

    Smith is vulnerable because he's a Republican in a blue state in a bad year, not because of his approval ratings. His approval ratings are a product of his vulnerability, not the cause of it. That said, he's been elected by the state twice, and he's an able campaigner, and remains without a challenger.

    8:51 PM, March 28, 2007  

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