Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Monday, November 26, 2007

November Senate Approval Numbers from Survey USA

SUSA is up with their November numbers.


Norm Coleman11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

Coleman managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but not by much; hardly enough to wipe away the "vulnerable" designation.

Mitch McConnell11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

As has been remarked on the blog already, these are the worst numbers of McConnell's career and his first net negative approval rating. Good times.

Pat Roberts11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

After nudging back up into the high-50's, Roberts is treading perilously close to the 50% danger line.

Jeff Sessions11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

I hate to say it, but Jeff Sessions is looking quite safe.

Gordon Smith11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

As with Coleman, Smith managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but, again, not by much; still very vulnerable.


Tom Harkin11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

Harkin is looking just comfortable enough for me to say something snarky like, "I hope Tom Latham does challenge Harkin, just to open up Latham's House seat!"

John Kerry11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06

C'mon, NRSC! Kerry is soooo vulnerable. Go for it!


Blogger John said...

Ouch. I don't like those Smith/Coleman trends. Hopefully, they'll be outliers. (Though I still don't think we'll take those seats...)

11:44 PM, November 26, 2007  
Blogger Sean said...

Personally, I think the approval ratings of Smith/Coleman at the moment, are pretty irrelevant. Head to head polls show Franken and Ciresi neck and neck with Coleman a year before election day. Although Smith has a small lead over Merkley (who announced not too long ago and still needs to up name recognition), I expect that race to be neck and neck soon as well. Taking this into concideration and seeing how far away we are from election day, I have little doubt right now that we will take both seats.

12:18 AM, November 27, 2007  
Blogger The Sleep said...

SUSA didn't poll Landrieu, or Inhofe. Coryn is at 42/43 (37/48 among independents). That's okay by me.

1:20 AM, November 27, 2007  
Blogger Michael Westmoreland-White said...

I think we WILL take both the Smith and Coleman seats, although I'm pulling for Jack Nelson-Pallmyer to beat Franken for the Democratic nomination in MN. Sessions was always a longshot and Vivien Figures has never run for a statewide national office (so she's a virtual unknown to most of Alabama)AND she's trying to become the first African-American senator from the South since Reconstruction! So, Sessions was always going to be an uphill fight--but still worth having.

If KY Dems get our act together behind Crit Luallen, I like our chances for knocking off McConnell, but we need to get it in gear--his campaign war chest is huge.

1:33 PM, November 28, 2007  

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