Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Monday, November 26, 2007

November Senate Approval Numbers from Survey USA

SUSA is up with their November numbers.

Republicans:

Norm Coleman11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve53494647434848
Disapprove40424544484143

Coleman managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but not by much; hardly enough to wipe away the "vulnerable" designation.

Mitch McConnell11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve44495150485254
Disapprove47454043444239

As has been remarked on the blog already, these are the worst numbers of McConnell's career and his first net negative approval rating. Good times.

Pat Roberts11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve51555754525151
Disapprove38363233343736

After nudging back up into the high-50's, Roberts is treading perilously close to the 50% danger line.

Jeff Sessions11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve60545659585958
Disapprove30373433333332

I hate to say it, but Jeff Sessions is looking quite safe.

Gordon Smith11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve52494846484754
Disapprove38424244434537

As with Coleman, Smith managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but, again, not by much; still very vulnerable.

Democrats:

Tom Harkin11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve58535357555153
Disapprove37424035383840

Harkin is looking just comfortable enough for me to say something snarky like, "I hope Tom Latham does challenge Harkin, just to open up Latham's House seat!"

John Kerry11/20/0710/18/079/25/078/21/077/24/076/19/0711/22/06
Approve51545247525048
Disapprove43414245424650

C'mon, NRSC! Kerry is soooo vulnerable. Go for it!

4 Comments:

Blogger John said...

Ouch. I don't like those Smith/Coleman trends. Hopefully, they'll be outliers. (Though I still don't think we'll take those seats...)

11:44 PM, November 26, 2007  
Blogger Sean said...

Personally, I think the approval ratings of Smith/Coleman at the moment, are pretty irrelevant. Head to head polls show Franken and Ciresi neck and neck with Coleman a year before election day. Although Smith has a small lead over Merkley (who announced not too long ago and still needs to up name recognition), I expect that race to be neck and neck soon as well. Taking this into concideration and seeing how far away we are from election day, I have little doubt right now that we will take both seats.

12:18 AM, November 27, 2007  
Blogger The Sleep said...

SUSA didn't poll Landrieu, or Inhofe. Coryn is at 42/43 (37/48 among independents). That's okay by me.

1:20 AM, November 27, 2007  
Blogger Michael Westmoreland-White said...

I think we WILL take both the Smith and Coleman seats, although I'm pulling for Jack Nelson-Pallmyer to beat Franken for the Democratic nomination in MN. Sessions was always a longshot and Vivien Figures has never run for a statewide national office (so she's a virtual unknown to most of Alabama)AND she's trying to become the first African-American senator from the South since Reconstruction! So, Sessions was always going to be an uphill fight--but still worth having.

If KY Dems get our act together behind Crit Luallen, I like our chances for knocking off McConnell, but we need to get it in gear--his campaign war chest is huge.

1:33 PM, November 28, 2007  

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