Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Tuesday, January 30, 2007

In? We'll Find Out Soon

Two evening bites:

  • Colorado: Colorado Pols says former Rep. Bob Schaffer is in. The Coloradoan says he is still thinking about it, but indicating that he will get in. I hope he does get in. He will pull Scott McInnis to the right and send more independents, moderates, centrists, and the like to Mark Udall.

  • Maine: Chellie Pingree is leaving her role as President of Common Cause to return to Maine and "consider political opportunities." She is suggesting that she is looking at a run for Maine's 1st District House seat, held by Tom Allen, should Allen challenge Susan Collins (whose 2002 opponent was Pingree). But if Allen declines, we could see a Collins-Pingree rematch. I'd strongly prefer Allen since Collins beat Pingree by a wide 59-41 margin, while Allen's popularity rivals Collins.


    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Why does a Democratic primary in New Hampshire benefit Democrats, while a Republican primary in Colorado also benefits Democrats?

    And is there any link you can give me to support the assertion that Allen is as popular statewide as Collins? I'm sure Allen is popular in the first district, but I haven't seen any from the entire state. It would be a mistake to assume that he's as popular as Collins simply because he's been billed as a strong challenger.

    3:48 PM, January 31, 2007  
    Blogger Senate2008Guru said...

    NH-Dem primaries, from what I've seen, tend to be much more civil and positive. Meanwhile, it sucks the airtime away from Sununu, who needs to do much more to moderate himself in the eyes of Granite Staters. In short, the Dems in the primary will be beating up on Sununu's record.

    CO-GOP primaries, however, can get very nasty and negative. They also tend to feature one more prominent way-out conservative (Schaffer) and one more prominent not-as-way-out conservative (McInnis, Coors), with the far righty pulling the other righty even further to the right, while happily impugning his record all the while, very much softening up the eventual GOP candidate for the Democrat (Salazar, Udall). In short, the Republicans in the primary will be beating up on each other.

    If the Dems in NH can't play nice, or if the GOoPers in CO either become much more cordial or avoid a primary altogether, then the dynamic is different. But there is no indication to suggest such a change.

    11:21 AM, February 01, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    You're an absolute joke.

    Democrats are civil in primaries, while Republicans are cut-throat? Could you be more partisan and narrow-minded? When Webb published an anti-Semetic cartoon of his primary opponent and called him the "Anti-Christ of outsourcing", while Miller accused him of not supporting minority rights, one of the examples of civility and positivity "from what you've seen"?

    I'd call you a hack, but you're more than that. You're a cheerleader. Your team can do no wrong; the other team can do no right. You have two things going for you: a registered blog and the ability to cull news. Every single one of your insights have either been wrong or hopelessly biased.

    6:01 PM, February 01, 2007  
    Blogger Senate2008Guru said...

    va blogger - I don't think you bothered to read what I wrote. I said that very specifically NH-Dem primaries are typically civil while CO-GOP primaries are typically nasty - and, sorry, they are. I did not say anything about any other primaries, much less VA-Dem specifically. Read what I actually wrote - you might learn something.

    2:58 PM, February 03, 2007  

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