Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Thursday, April 05, 2007

Draft DeFazio Effort Underway

  • Oregon: Fresh off of polling that shows Democratic U.S. Congressman Peter DeFazio beating Gordon Smith, and DeFazio warming to the idea of a Senate bid, the diligent folks over at Loaded Orygun have started a Draft DeFazio for Senate effort. The effort comes complete with a Draft DeFazio blog. Check it out!


    Blogger Blue South said...

    Dole's fundraising numbers and some other fun links. If she had put 5% of the effort into representing this state that she did into fundraising in March she would be in the top 30 for effectiveness, and not #95

    11:56 PM, April 05, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Those rankings weren't for "effectiveness", they were powre rankings. Republicans aren't in power, so its doubtful that she'd crack the top 50. She's never been a ranking member or a chairman, so its doubtful that she'd crack the top 65. And she's a freshman, so her number seems pretty accurate.

    See how we can figure things out when we apply just a little bit of logic to it?

    At any rate, I'll be expecting a front-page post by S2G displaying Dole's fundraising, and how she's not retiring and might not be as vulnerable as people think she is.

    9:02 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger Blue South said...

    She is still behind her own goal, no matter what the campaigns put out.

    And you can say anything you want to to defend her, but she hasnt done a single good thing for North Carolina.

    9:27 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Even if she's behind her own goal, she is still well-poised against whatever second or third tier challenger may eventually rise up against her. If Dole has over $2 million and her opponent is Kay Hagan, she's set.

    9:38 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger NOVA said...

    A little bit on a tangent, but has Kay Hagan been approached? I guess the DSCC has accepted that Easley won't do it and will probably be in a Dem cabinet and Brad Miller might not be interested (unless a draft movement really intensifies), so Hagan seems logical. I just didn't know if that is actually something that is going around NC, or not.

    11:20 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger Blue South said...

    Its not. I cant imagine Sen Hagan even being on the radar for the DSCC. Seperate from Brad, there are other people who have actually expressed a small interest in running for something larger this cycle that would be much more likely.

    The news about the DSCC recruiting Easley has pretty much died entirely, but there is no indication of them really doing anything yet. Im sure they are a little distracted by the recent news in places like Oregon and Colorado.

    11:46 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger NOVA said...

    Who are a few of the ones who have expressed slight interest? Any that you think could potentially turn it into a top race?

    11:51 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    So far, Etheridge, Price, McIntyre, and Miller have all been mum. There was a blog effort to draft little-known David Young. Other than that, top targets appear to be former Governor Jim Hunt (who will probably say no), former Lt. Governor Wicker (who's damaged goods), or a state legislator like Hagan, Ellie Kinnaerd, or Deb Ross.

    Hunt or one of the Congressmen would turn it into a top-tier race. Anybody else will get steam-rolled.

    11:56 AM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger Blue South said...

    your knowledge of nc politics is impressive.

    Wicker's name is a non starter and hasnt been mentioned by anyone credible.

    Im not sure where this "blog draft" is showing up, but I read most Democratic blogs that focus on NC, and have yet to see his David Young's name.

    As for your knowledge of state legislators, its mildly amusing. How about some NC history for you. What jobs did John Edwards, Lauch Faircloth and Jesse Helms hold before being elected to the US Senate? We dont mind electing people with little experience in elected office.

    1:49 PM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Meet David Young. From Blue NC, which S2G even has a link on his front page.

    As far as your "trivia" question, they were all lawyers. I wasn't suggesting that the only candidates are those with political resumes; only that the only candidates speculators like me would have knowledge about are those with political resumes.

    3:29 PM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger Blue South said...

    You are amazing.

    That post you linked to was the only thing about David Young. One post isnt a movement. If that is a movement then there is about 5 times as good a chance that Dole will retire and Robin Hayes will run for Governor again.

    Edwards was the only lawyer. Thanks for playing though.

    3:40 PM, April 06, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    I didn't characterize it as a "movement", I said it was a "blog effort". And I never said I was an expert on NC politics, nor have I ever tried to pass myself off as one. I offered what I knew; if I'm wrong, then feel free to correct me, but there's no need to get snotty with me.

    3:53 PM, April 06, 2007  

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