Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races
Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races
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via ActBlue Election Day 2008 Countdown
via ActBlue Election Day 2008 Countdown
Recent Posts
- Landrieu's Strength, Collins' Illogic, and Atkins'...
- Action and Reaction
- Franken, Rounds, and Americans United for Change
- Tuesday Night Quick Hits
- Is That Your Final Answer?
- Monday Night Rundown
- Monday Morning Rundown
- More Bad Press for McConnell, Domenici & Sununu
- Another Indication of the NRSC Behind the 8-Ball
- "No Ifs" on a Huckabee Senate Bid
Democratic Party Links
- Democratic National Committee
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
Democratic Senatorial Incumbents and Candidates
- Alabama:
State Senator Vivian Figures - Alaska:
Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (considering) - Arkansas:
Senator Mark Pryor - Colorado:
Congressman Mark Udall - Delaware:
Senator Joe Biden - Georgia:
Veteran & former Senate aide Josh Lanier
Ecologist Dr. Rand Knight
Journalist Dale Cardwell
Former State Rep. Maggie Martinez - Idaho:
Former Congressman Larry LaRocco - Illinois:
Senator Richard Durbin - Iowa:
Senator Tom Harkin - Kansas:
Former Senate nominee Lee Jones - Kentucky:
Businessman Greg Fischer
Former state Commerce Secretary Bruce Lunsford
Dr. Michael Cassaro - Louisiana:
Senator Mary Landrieu - Maine:
Congressman Tom Allen - Massachusetts:
Senator John Kerry - Michigan:
Senator Carl Levin - Minnesota:
Commentator Al Franken
Attorney Mike Ciresi
Professor Jack Nelson-Pallmeyer
Former Minneapolis Alderman Dick Franson - Mississippi-A:
Former State Representative Erik Fleming
Perennial candidate Shawn O'Hara - Mississippi-B:
Former Governor Ronnie Musgrove - Montana:
Senator Max Baucus - Nebraska:
Businessman Tony Raimondo
Veteran Larry Marvin
2006 Congressional Nominee Scott Kleeb (considering) - New Hampshire:
Former Governor Jeanne Shaheen - New Jersey:
Senator Frank Lautenberg - New Mexico:
Congressman Tom Udall - North Carolina:
State Senator Kay Hagan
Businessman Jim Neal
Veteran John Ross Hendrix
Businessman Duskin Lassiter
State Board of Education Chair Howard Lee (considering) - Oklahoma:
State Senator Andrew Rice - Oregon:
House Speaker Jeff Merkley
Activist Steve Novick
Real estate broker Candy Neville - Rhode Island:
Senator Jack Reed - South Carolina:
Attorney Michael Cone
Attorney Tom Turnipseed (considering) - South Dakota:
Senator Tim Johnson - Tennessee:
Businessman Kenneth Eaton
Former Knox County Clerk Mike Padgett
Activist Chris Lugo
Former TN-Dems Chair Bob Tuke (considering) - Texas:
State Representative Rick Noriega - Virginia:
Former Governor Mark Warner - West Virginia:
Senator Jay Rockefeller - Wyoming-A: unknown
- Wyoming-B:
Attorney Nick Carter (considering)
Republican Incumbent Primary Challengers
- Alaska:
Businessman David Cuddy
Former Lt. Gov. Loren Leman (considering)
Former state Senate President Mike Miller (considering) - Idaho:
Rancher Rex Rammell
Iraq veteran Scott Syme
Former Caldwell City Councilman Kent Marmon
Businessman Richard Phenneger
Machinist Brian Hefner
Attorney Fred Adams
Former Boise Mayoral candidate Harley Brown
Neal Thompson
Canyon County Commissioner Robert Vasquez (ceased campaign) - Kentucky:
Daniel Essek
1995 GOP Gubernatorial Nominee Larry Forgy (draft effort) - Minnesota:
Former Senator Rod Grams (considering) - Oregon:
1998 GOP Gubernatorial Nominee Bill Sizemore (considering) - South Carolina:
Former Myrtle Beach Mayor Mark McBride
RNC Member Buddy Witherspoon
Air Force veteran John Cina
Computer specialist Tim Carnes
Former Rep. Tommy Hartnett (considering)
State Representative Jeff Duncan (considering) - Texas:
2006 Gubernatorial candidate Larry Kilgore - Wyoming (Barrasso):
Former U.S. Attorney Matt Mead (considering)
Retirements, Resignations, and Passings
- Wayne Allard (R-CO): Announced retirement, 1/15/07
- Craig Thomas (R-WY): Passed away, 6/4/07
- John Warner (R-VA): Announced retirement, 8/31/07
- Chuck Hagel (R-NE): Announced retirement, 9/10/07
- Larry Craig (R-ID): Announced retirement (we think), 10/4/07
- Pete Domenici (R-NM): Announced retirement, 10/4/07
- Trent Lott (R-MS): Announced impending resignation, 11/26/07
Links
- Roadblock Republicans
- DSCC's YouTube Page
- Rothenberg Political Report 2008 Senate Ratings (2/22/08)
- Cook Political Report Senate Race Ratings - PDF (1/17/08)
- CQPolitics Balance of Power Scorecard (8/15/07)
- Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Senate '08 Update (7/19/07)
- National Journal 2008 Senate Race Rankings (2/12/07)
- Survey USA Senator Approval Ratings (11/22/06)
- 2008 Senate Race Tracker Wiki
- 2008 Senate Elections Wikipedia Page
- U.S. Senate Seat-Holders Chart, 1978-present
- Pollster.com
- Project Vote Smart
- An Inconvenient Truth
- Senator Chuck Schumer's Positively American
- Americans United for Change
- Empowering Veterans
- Vote Vets
- The Hill
National Blog Roll
- All Spin Zone
- All Things Democrat
- AmericaBlog
- Atrios
- Blue Sunbelt
- Bob Geiger
- Booman Tribune
- Campaign Diaries
- The Carpetbagger Report
- Cliff Schecter
- CQPolitics
- Crooks and Liars
- Daily Kos
- Daily Left
- The Democratic Daily
- Digby
- Election Day 2008
- An Enduring Democratic Majority
- Firedoglake
- The Fix (Washington Post)
- From the Roots (DSCC Blog)
- The Gavel (Speaker Pelosi)
- The Group News Blog
- Gun Toting Liberal
- Hotline Blogometer
- Hotline On Call
- The Huffington Post
- Kicking Ass (DNC Blog)
- Left in the West
- Liberal Values
- MaxSpeak
- MyDD
- The Next Hurrah
- NJDC Blog
- Open Left
- Political Wire
- Politics1
- Progressive Blog Digest
- Rising Hegemon
- Rocky Mountain Report
- The Rothenberg Political Report
- Scholars & Rogues
- The Stakeholder (DCCC Blog)
- Swing State Project
- Talking Points Memo
- Think Progress
- VetVoice
- Wonkette
State Blog Roll
- 43rd State Blues (ID)
- Alaska Pride (AK)
- Badlands Blue (SD)
- Birmingham Blues (AL)
- Bleeding Heartland (IA)
- Bluegrass Report (KY)
- BlueGrass Roots (KY)
- Blue Hampshire (NH)
- Blue Jersey (NJ)
- Blue Mass Group (MA)
- Blue NC (NC)
- Blue Oklahoma (OK)
- Blue Oregon (OR)
- Blue Tide Rising (KS)
- The Bridge (KY)
- Burnt Orange Report (TX)
- Capitol Annex (TX)
- Colorado Confidential (CO)
- Colorado Pols (CO)
- Cotton Mouth (MS)
- Daily Delaware (DE)
- Daily Kingfish (LA)
- Democracy for New Mexico (NM)
- Doc's Political Parlor (AL)
- Heath Haussamen (NM)
- Iowa Progress (IA)
- Joe Monahan (NM)
- KnoxViews (TN)
- Left in Alabama (AL)
- Loaded Orygun (OR)
- Michigan Liberal (MI)
- Minnesota Campaign Report (MN)
- MN Blue (MN)
- MN Publius (MN)
- The MountainGoat Report (ID)
- New Mexico FBIHOP (NM)
- New Nebraska Network (NE)
- North Texas Liberal (TX)
- Not Larry Sabato (VA)
- Prarie State Blue (IL)
- Public Policy Polling (NC)
- Raising Kaine (VA)
- Red State Rebels (ID)
- Rhode Island's Future (RI)
- South Dakota Progressive (SD)
- Square State (CO)
- TennViews (TN)
- Texas Kaos (TX)
- Tondee's Tavern (GA)
- Turn Maine Blue (ME)
- UNO Dems (NE)
- West Virginia Blue (WV)
- Witigonen (OR)
Candidate-Specific Blogs & Sites
Cheering Them On- Blue Sparks in Alabama (AL)
- Draft Horne (1) (KY)
- Draft Horne (2) (KY)
- Draft Brad Miller (NC)
- Draft Crit (KY)
- Draft DeFazio (OR)
- Draft Governor Henry (OK)
- Draft Owen (KY)
- Draft Rick Noriega (TX)
- Draft Scott Kleeb (NE)
- Draft Shaheen (NH)
- Draft Tom Udall (NM)
- NoriegaBlog (Unofficial) (TX)
- Run Andrew Run (OK)
- Stumbo 4 Senate (Unofficial) (KY)
- Tom Allen for Senate (Unofficial) (ME)
- We Want Mike Moore (MS)
- We Want Wyc (GA)
- Bob Schaffer on the Issues (CO)
- Collins Watch (ME)
- Defeat Lindsey Graham (SC)
- Ditch Mitch KY (KY)
- Dump Lindsey.org (SC)
- Dump Lindsey Graham (SC)
- No Hagel (NE)
- Norm Coleman Weasel Meter (MN)
- The Real Wicker (MS)
- Retire Ted (AK)
- Sack Sessions (AL)
- Shifty Schaffer (CO)
- Stop Cornyn (TX)
- Stop Gordon Smith (OR)
- Stop Sununu (NH)
- Sununu Hampshire (NH)
- Toast Graham! (SC)
- Tom Davis Truth (VA)
- What's McConnell Hiding? (KY)
Note: This is a privately run blog, not connected to any political campaign, candidate, committee or organization.
Contact the Senate 2008 Guru at senate2008guru at yahoo dot com.
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Republican Scandals of 2007
On Republican Obstructionism-
NE-Sen: Mike Johanns is a Quitter
MT-Sen: Mike Lange's Obscene Tirade
KY-Sen: DSCC on Mitch McConnell and Iraq
ME-Sen: Americans United for Change on Susan Collins and Iraq
NH-Sen: Americans United for Change on John Sununu and Iraq
MN-Sen: The Difference Between Norm Coleman & Al Franken
VA-Sen: Mark Warner Announces
The Hall of Fame YouTube Political Video: George Allen and "Macaca"
Thursday, April 05, 2007
12 Comments:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/4/5/232211/2747
Dole's fundraising numbers and some other fun links. If she had put 5% of the effort into representing this state that she did into fundraising in March she would be in the top 30 for effectiveness, and not #95
Those rankings weren't for "effectiveness", they were powre rankings. Republicans aren't in power, so its doubtful that she'd crack the top 50. She's never been a ranking member or a chairman, so its doubtful that she'd crack the top 65. And she's a freshman, so her number seems pretty accurate.
See how we can figure things out when we apply just a little bit of logic to it?
At any rate, I'll be expecting a front-page post by S2G displaying Dole's fundraising, and how she's not retiring and might not be as vulnerable as people think she is.
She is still behind her own goal, no matter what the campaigns put out.
And you can say anything you want to to defend her, but she hasnt done a single good thing for North Carolina.
Even if she's behind her own goal, she is still well-poised against whatever second or third tier challenger may eventually rise up against her. If Dole has over $2 million and her opponent is Kay Hagan, she's set.
A little bit on a tangent, but has Kay Hagan been approached? I guess the DSCC has accepted that Easley won't do it and will probably be in a Dem cabinet and Brad Miller might not be interested (unless a draft movement really intensifies), so Hagan seems logical. I just didn't know if that is actually something that is going around NC, or not.
Its not. I cant imagine Sen Hagan even being on the radar for the DSCC. Seperate from Brad, there are other people who have actually expressed a small interest in running for something larger this cycle that would be much more likely.
The news about the DSCC recruiting Easley has pretty much died entirely, but there is no indication of them really doing anything yet. Im sure they are a little distracted by the recent news in places like Oregon and Colorado.
Who are a few of the ones who have expressed slight interest? Any that you think could potentially turn it into a top race?
So far, Etheridge, Price, McIntyre, and Miller have all been mum. There was a blog effort to draft little-known David Young. Other than that, top targets appear to be former Governor Jim Hunt (who will probably say no), former Lt. Governor Wicker (who's damaged goods), or a state legislator like Hagan, Ellie Kinnaerd, or Deb Ross.
Hunt or one of the Congressmen would turn it into a top-tier race. Anybody else will get steam-rolled.
your knowledge of nc politics is impressive.
Wicker's name is a non starter and hasnt been mentioned by anyone credible.
Im not sure where this "blog draft" is showing up, but I read most Democratic blogs that focus on NC, and have yet to see his David Young's name.
As for your knowledge of state legislators, its mildly amusing. How about some NC history for you. What jobs did John Edwards, Lauch Faircloth and Jesse Helms hold before being elected to the US Senate? We dont mind electing people with little experience in elected office.
Meet David Young. From Blue NC, which S2G even has a link on his front page.
As far as your "trivia" question, they were all lawyers. I wasn't suggesting that the only candidates are those with political resumes; only that the only candidates speculators like me would have knowledge about are those with political resumes.
You are amazing.
That post you linked to was the only thing about David Young. One post isnt a movement. If that is a movement then there is about 5 times as good a chance that Dole will retire and Robin Hayes will run for Governor again.
Edwards was the only lawyer. Thanks for playing though.
I didn't characterize it as a "movement", I said it was a "blog effort". And I never said I was an expert on NC politics, nor have I ever tried to pass myself off as one. I offered what I knew; if I'm wrong, then feel free to correct me, but there's no need to get snotty with me.
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