Rasmussen Reports, well, reports:
If the Congressional Election were held today, 47% of American voters say they would currently vote for the Democrat in their district while 36% would pull the voting lever for a Republican. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found 4% favoring a third-party option while 13% are not sure. A month ago, the Democrats enjoyed a 45% to 35% advantage.Still lots of time between now and Election Day 2008, but time is ticking away.
BooMan offers his look at the absolute-best case scenario in 2008 Senate dynamics.
Nebraska: The Lincoln Journal Star nutshells what the Bruning-Hagel primary means for Democrats:
While Hagel is in danger of “losing his base” in a GOP primary contest because of his position on Iraq, Myers says, Bruning “runs the risk of alienating the electorate in a general election.”Beyond the subjective analysis, the LJS article offers the following quantitative tidbit:
That creates “a tremendous opportunity for Democrats,” state party executive director Matt Connealy suggests.
Hagel’s 51 percent [public approval] compared to 44 percent for Bush, 54 percent for Omaha Mayor Mike Fahey — a potential Democratic Senate candidate — 61 percent for Bruning and 70 percent for Dave Heineman.Omaha's Democratic Mayor Mike Fahey already enjoys 54% statewide approval despite never having run statewide before and therefore probably having lower name recognition statewide. He's already ahead of Hagel's 51% and within striking distance of Bruning's 61% despite Bruning having already run and won statewide as Nebraska Attorney General. I offer that this is very positive news for Fahey and a very solid starting point should he enter the race.
Maine: Collins Watch highlights the Portland Press Herald's Nancy Grape skewering Susan Collins' alleged centrist cred.
New Hampshire: Blue Hampshire looks at the issue of choice and reproductive freedom in the NH Senate race, with Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand demonstrating that he can be progressive on the issue and know how to relate it to New Hampshire voters:
If there is anywhere that government is overstepping personal freedoms, it is by encroaching in personal decisions between an individual and her doctor.Campaigning is about both having the most appealing or appropriate positions on the issues and making those positions sound the most appealing or appropriate or illustrating why they are as such. Marchand gets it. Sununu chooses to keep digging his hole.
Another fun fact from the "Family Values" Republicans: Would-be Presidential candidate and touted-GOP-savior Fred Thompson knocked up his girlfriend in high school. They subsequently got married, but then divorced in 1985. Pre-marital high school fornication, pregnancy out of wedlock, divorce. And this guy is the savior for Republican Presidential hopes? Just more conservative hypocrisy.