Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Thursday, May 24, 2007

May Senate Approval Numbers from Survey USA

Survey USA just posted their May approval numbers. (For a refresher, here are April's numbers.)

New May numbers in bold, 4/24/07 numbers in brackets, 11/22/06 in parenthesis

Norm Coleman: 51-42 [53-41] (48-43)
John Cornyn: 46-40 [43-40] (45-42)
Pete Domenici: 52-42 [54-38] (68-25)
Mitch McConnell: 54-39 [53-40] (54-39)
Pat Roberts: 52-36 [48-39] (51-36)
Jeff Sessions: 60-31 [54-36] (58-32)
Gordon Smith: 48-39 [51-41] (54-37)
John Warner: 62-29 [55-33] (60-28)

Tom Harkin: 56-36 [57-38] (53-40)
John Kerry: 47-47 [54-41] (48-50)

1) On the Democratic side: Glad to see Harkin hang tight in the mid-50's. In a perverse way, I'm glad to see Kerry drop back down; it might encourage national Republicans to waste money, time, and resources there.
2) Domenici's drop continues, but is beginning to level off in the low-50's. Quite a plummet from the pre-Attorney Purge scandal approval in the high 60's.
3) Gordon Smith dipping below 50 and Cornyn languishing below 50 should hopefully jumpstart the situations in Oregon and Texas.
4) Coleman, McConnell, and Roberts continue to float around 50. It's amazes me that even Roberts in Kansas can't get above the low-50's.
5) It is disappointing to see Sessions and Warner shoot back up - especially Warner, who is pondering retirement. We want him thinking that a re-election bid will be a painstaking, arduous undertaking and not a worthy alternative to retirement.


Blogger yankeedoodler said...

Coleman, Domenici, and McConnell's numbers are very encouraging. I'm especially pleased about McConnell's. That's striking range territory.

And why hasn't SURVEYUSA polled Sprintin' Sununu? It's been ages...

-Dean, Blue Hampshire

11:14 AM, May 24, 2007  
Blogger LP said...


the surveys are paid for by local media outlets. For example, here in New Mexico, the Senate polls are commissioned by KOB-TV.

I'd assume no media in Sununu's district feels it is worth it to pay for a poll yet.

1:06 PM, May 24, 2007  
Blogger Kathy said...

I'm sorry to see Jeff Sessions' numbers improving. Maybe he needs to talk more -- that usually hurts him.

4:24 PM, May 24, 2007  
Blogger Anthony_Distler said...

Jeff Sessions was one of he safest Republicans in this cycle. His approval could be in the 30's and he would be elected.

The one that upsets me is Cornyn's numbers are going back up. We needed his numbers to be low to take him down.

4:40 PM, May 24, 2007  
Blogger The Real Sporer said...

I'll bet you a week of free posts on Cornyn.

7:49 PM, May 24, 2007  
Blogger The Real Sporer said...

....... and Kathy, the same to you on Sessions.

7:50 PM, May 24, 2007  
Blogger The Sleep said...

Looking at the six month trend, these numbers all just look stable to me -- the variations look like normal statistical noise. And stability is what you'd expect given that it's been a relatively quiet time politically, at least before the flap on the right over the immigration bill. I don't think anybody should be encouraged or discouraged by them. Sorry, boring comment, but I think it's the reality.

11:46 PM, June 25, 2007  

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