Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Tuesday, November 06, 2007

Tuesday Night Items

  • Kentucky: Congratulations to Governor-elect Steve Beshear and Lieutenant Governor-elect Dan Mongiardo! Looks like it'll be a resonating 60-40 result. DMKY has a great map showing how blue Kentucky is tonight. It's a big night for the KY-Dems as it looks like Democrats will win not only the Governor's office and Lieutenant Governor's office, but also Attorney General, Auditor, and Treasurer, with Republicans taking only Secretary of State and Agriculture Commissioner. (Auditor Crit Luallen's victory, another 60-40 landslide, could be a springboard to a 2008 challenge to McConnell - stay tuned.)

    Meanwhile, Mitch McConnell isn't even going to appear at corrupt loser Ernie Fletcher's defeat party. Some class act. With Fletcher's resounding defeat, what does possible 2008 Mitch McConnell primary opponent Larry Forgy have to say?

    Forgy said earlier tonight that he blames U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans for dividing the party.

    [Former GOP Chairwoman Ellen] Williams, in an exasperated tone, pleaded with Forgy not to run against McConnell in the 2008 election.
    Run, Larry! Run! Draft Forgy is already itching to go for it. In other news, Mitch McConnell doesn't care about the well-being of miners.

  • South Carolina: Attorney Michael Cone has expressed interest in challenging Lindsey Graham (or whoever wins the 2008 Republican Senate primary) to a Senate race. Cone is a graduate of the Citadel, a Navy veteran, and a graduate of the University of South Carolina law school. Two policy areas that Cone has spoken on are making the U.S. independent of foreign oil and curbing illegal immigration. Given that much of the dissatisfaction with Graham among Republicans stems from Graham's position on immigration policy, a Democrat running to Graham's right on immigration would present quite a problem for him. Cone is a political novice, so let's not get ahead of ourselves; but, this indeed has the potential to get interesting.

  • Nebraska: The big farm bill may not get finished before the end of 2007. If only the U.S. Secretary of Agriculture, Mike Johanns, didn't quit his job (like he's quit every political job he's held) to chase his next gig before work on the bill was truly finished. This significantly screws over Nebraska farmers, not that Mike Johanns has ever been a friend of farmers.

  • Virginia: Another sign the Old Dominion is turning blue: the State Senate is on the brink of returning to Democratic control. This includes the demise of the loathsome Jeannemarie Devolites Davis. Will JMDD's defeat encourage Tom Davis to retire and open up his House seat?

  • We currently have the lowest level of Army recruits ever - well, since 1973 when Army service became all-volunteer. Heckuva job, W.

  • 9 Comments:

    Blogger Matthew said...

    Tom Davis IS WEAK... is this the best a former "potentional" Senate candidate can do? The Tom Davis "machine" should have been able to get Devolites Davis a victory in Farifax... NLS is right... JMMD down... TD is next...

    12:15 AM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger Matthew said...

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/11/06/AR2007110601036.html?hpid=topnews

    Kaine declares a Democratic Senate... and historic gains in the House!!

    12:16 AM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger Rick said...

    It's looking very much like Crit will run here in Kentucky.

    She might be all right.

    12:38 AM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Matthew, stop being an idiot. JMDD was running in a 60% Democratic district, in a terrible environment for the GOP. You can set up whatever artificially high expectations for the "Davis Machine" you like just so you can see them lose, but that's not a reflection of reality.

    2:39 AM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger Senate2008Guru said...

    va blogger - why is it not a "reflection of reality"? Two years ago, the last time both Tom Davis and Jeanmarie Devolites Davis had to run for their respective offices, was the district overwhelmingly Republican and then it just shifted to majority Democrat?

    9:11 AM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    First, Jeannemarie last ran for her seat in 2003, not 2005. Second, both districts, but especially Jeannemarie's, actually was a lot less Democratic than it is now. Northern Virginia has grown tremendously in the last decade and a significant portion of the new population is Democratic and has no ties to the Davis family. Third, Davis won in 2003 against a far weaker opponent than Chap Peterson.

    12:17 PM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger Matthew said...

    VA Blogger... don't get into name calling here, Mr. you belong to the "Mark Foley, Idriss Deby, Saparmyrat Niyazov, Jean-Bertrand Aristide, Teodoro Obiang Nguema, Alexander Lukashenko, Robert Mugabe, Bashar al-Asad, Pat Robertson, Jerry Falwell, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Hugo Chavez, Kim Long II, Al Queda, Abu Nidal Organization (ANO), Abu Sayyaf Group, Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, Ansar al-Islam, Armed Islamic Group (GIA), Asbat al-Ansar, Aum Shinrikyo, Basque Fatherland and Liberty (ETA), Communist Party of the Philippines/New People's Army (CPP/NPA), Continuity Irish Republican Army, Gama’a al-Islamiyya (Islamic Group), HAMAS (Islamic Resistance Movement), Harakat ul-Mujahidin (HUM), Hizballah (Party of God), Islamic Jihad Group, Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), Jaish-e-Mohammed (JEM) (Army of Mohammed), Jemaah Islamiya organization (JI), al-Jihad (Egyptian Islamic Jihad), Kahane Chai (Kach), Kongra-Gel (KGK, formerly Kurdistan Workers' Party, PKK, KADEK), Lashkar-e Tayyiba (LT) (Army of the Righteous), Lashkar i Jhangvi, Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), Libyan Islamic Fighting Group (LIFG), Moroccan Islamic Combatant Group (GICM), Mujahedin-e Khalq Organization (MEK), National Liberation Army (ELN) , Palestine Liberation Front (PLF), Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLF) , PFLP-General Command (PFLP-GC), Real IRA, Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) , Revolutionary Nuclei (formerly ELA) , Revolutionary Organization 17 November , Revolutionary People’s Liberation Party/Front (DHKP/C), Salafist Group for Call and Combat (GSPC), Shining Path (Sendero Luminoso, SL), Tanzim Qa'idat al-Jihad fi Bilad al-Rafidayn (QJBR) (al-Qaida in Iraq) (formerly Jama'at al-Tawhid wa'al-Jihad, JTJ, al-Zarqawi Network), and the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC), Tony Perkins, Malcome Kline, Betsy DeVos, Richard Sharp, Greg Brock, Ward Connerly, William F. Buckley, Jr.: L. Brent Bozell: Frank S. Meyer; John Chamberlain; Jameson Campaigne, Sr.; John Ashbrook; Katherine St. George; and Robert E. Bauman, David A. Keene, Rev. Donald Wildmon, Edward Crane, Stephen Moore, Judie Brown, Grover Norquist, Gary Bauer" wing of the Republican Party...

    Not interested in name calling spats...

    If Tom Davis is a "moderate" as you say he is (and I highly disagree... he had no oversight record as chair of the Government Reform Committee... and voted for the President's Iraq priorities), he should have been able to round up some Democratic votes...

    8:27 PM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger VA Blogger said...

    Matthew, I thought I told you to stop being an idiot.

    I shouldn't have to inform you that Tom Davis wasn't running in the 34th Senate district, and that the Iraq War wasn't an issue in the election yesterday. Yet strangely, I find myself doing just that.

    10:30 PM, November 07, 2007  
    Blogger Matthew said...

    VA Blogger... listen, you Ahmadinejad right-wing crack head, if you want to get into a name-calling match, maybe the Guru can set up a separate thread for that (don't use the word idiot with me, sterile boy)...

    As for our arguments... It is baseline stupidiy, absurdity, and senseless logic to say that Tom Davis shouldn not have been a factor in that race... as a Senate candidate, he'd have to cut into the margin of a massively blue Northern Virginia... and he wouldn't be taking those votes from, for example, a James Webb anytime soon.

    As NLS says, what time is it? Time for Tom Davis to retire... http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/

    12:06 AM, November 09, 2007  

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