Senate 2008 Guru: Following the Races

Keeping a close eye on developments in the 2008 U.S. Senate races

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Tuesday Tidbits

  • New Hampshire: A new Granite State Poll (in PDF format) offers reassuring numbers. The poll clocked Republican John Sununu's approve-disapprove at a languishing 46-35, while popular Democratic former Governor Jeanne Shaheen's approve-disapprove came in at a steady 57-23. The poll found Shaheen beating Sununu 54-37, which is almost identical to the 54-38 findings in both previous Granite State Polls on this race, in July '07 and September '07. Lookin' good. Also, Democrat Jay Buckey is withdrawing from the race, leaving Shaheen unopposed in the primary and focused entirely on Sununu.

  • Kentucky: Ugh. Less than 24 hours after the Guru described Lieutenent Colonel Andrew Horne as "the strongest Democratic challenger to take on Mitch McConnell," Lt. Col. Horne withdraws from the 2008 Senate race, leaving businessman Greg Fischer and former state Secretary of Commerce and two-time gubernatorial candidate Bruce Lunsford at the top of the Democratic pack. This is disappointing news.

  • Arkansas: Even with John McCain looking like the presumptive Republican nominee for President, Mike Huckabee reiterates in no uncertain terms that he has no desire to run for Senate in 2008:

    "There is a greater chance that I would dye my hair green and get tattoos all over my body and do a rock tour with Amy Winehouse than there is for the Senate."
    Sounds certain. Tough break for the AR-GOP, who look like they won't even bother to field a candidate against Senator Mark Pryor.

  • Maine: Elections are about choices. Well, here's a difference to choose between: Tom Allen cares about veterans; Susan Collins does not.

  • Minnesota: I have to say, I'm very disappointed in the tone of the attacks Mike Ciresi is lobbing at Al Franken. Not only is it beneath Democratic politics, but it makes you look desperate, Mike. Meanwhile, Franken continues to earn glowing local press.

  • Colorado: Bob Schaffer is the Mitt Romney of Colorado - and, no, that is not a compliment.

  • Oregon: The local media recognizes that a vote for Gordon Smith is a vote to continue the failed policies of George W. Bush.

  • Arizona: House retiree-to-be GOP Rep. John Shadegg is leaving open the possibility of a 2010 Senate bid if John McCain wins the Presidency (or, I suppose, retires). Remember that popular Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano already enjoys a double-digit lead on McCain in a hypothetical 2010 Senate match-up.

  • Ohio: Again, looking ahead to 2010, if I had to put money on it, I'd bet that Republican George Voinovich will retire at the end of his current term. (He'll be 74-years-old on Election Day 2010.) If he does retire, Republican former Congressman and current Bush budget director Rob Portman may be interested in a 2010 Senate bid.

  • The terrific folks over at Roadblock released a hilariously accurate YouTube video:


    Blogger Matt Hurley said...

    George RINOvich is running again in 2010 and has said so many a time. He is continuing to raise funds for that bid even though he has a formidible opponent in the GOP primary.

    5:37 PM, February 12, 2008  
    Blogger Matt Hurley said...

    As for the video...ain't karma a bitch? :)

    5:40 PM, February 12, 2008  
    Blogger The Sleep said...

    Please God let McCain pick Portman as his running mate. Just when we are starting to worry about how to tie McCain the supposed maverick to the Bush administration in the public's mind, he lets it leak out that he is considering an administration insider as VP. Surely we can't get that lucky.

    9:56 PM, February 12, 2008  
    Blogger Ari said...

    That video is very good . . . but I'm sure Groucho is turning in his grave!

    As for the Ohio senate seat in 2010 . . . whether it's Voiney or some other Rethug on the ballot, who are we going to field? Marcy Kaptur? Paul Hackett? We gotta start thinking about these things well in advance!

    12:03 PM, February 13, 2008  
    Blogger Sean said...

    It amazes me that you'd bother to mention a poll of "New Hampshire adults". That's a crap poll and you know it. Any responsible pollster will have some kind of a screen, either likely or registered voters. Shaheen certainly leads handily, and I couldn't blame you if you started calling her "Sen. Shaheen" now, but polls of "adults" are worthless.

    5:32 AM, February 14, 2008  
    Blogger Michael Westmoreland-White, Ph.D. said...

    The Kentucky Democratic Party and the DSCC and Chuck Schumer sold out Andrew Horne. They would rather put their money on wealthy DINO Bruce Lunsford. Dem activists across KY are outraged at the loss of our last big chance to Ditch Mitch in '08!

    10:44 AM, February 18, 2008  

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